On February 17, 2014, the press conference of the 2013 annual economic operation situation of the machinery industry was held in Beijing. Cai Weici, executive vice president of China Machinery Industry Federation, Zhao Chi, executive vice president and secretary general of China Machinery Industry Federation, and China Machinery Zhao Xinmin, director of the statistical work department of the Federation of Industry, and Dong Yang, executive vice president and secretary general of the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, attended the conference. At the meeting, Chairman Cai pointed out that in 2013, the machinery industry achieved a slow recovery and moderate growth in the whole industry. Steady development, major economic indicators such as production, sales and efficiency have all achieved modest growth. At the same time, under the influence of the market reversal mechanism, the pace of structural adjustment and transformation and upgrading is accelerating. Looking forward to 2014, the overall situation of the external environment of the industry development is difficult to change significantly. It is expected that with the efforts of the whole industry, the growth rate of production, sales and profit of machinery industry will reach about 12% in 2014, and the growth rate of exports is expected to reach 8%. . 
The 2013 press conference on the economic operation of the machinery industry in 2013 The domestic and international economic situation in 2013 is complicated, the operational difficulties of the machinery industry have increased significantly, and the pressure to change the development mode has increased drastically. In this context, the machinery industry implements the central government's work requirements for “stable and progressâ€, and strives to stabilize growth, adjust structure, and promote reforms. It has achieved slow recovery, moderate growth and steady development of the whole industry, production, sales and benefits. Other major economic indicators have achieved modest growth. At the same time, under the influence of the market reversal mechanism, the pace of structural adjustment and transformation and upgrading is accelerating.
Looking forward to 2014, the overall situation of the external environment of the industry development is difficult to change significantly. The whole industry will conscientiously implement the spirit of the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee, strive to improve the quality of industry development, and actively promote the adjustment and upgrading of industrial structure.
I. Characteristics of the development of machinery industry in 2013
(1) Moderate growth in industry production
1. The growth rate of added value is higher than the national industrial average.
In 2013, the added value of the machinery industry increased by 10.9% over the previous year, an increase of 2.5 percentage points over the previous year, and 1.2 percentage points higher than the national average industrial growth rate (9.7%) in the same period. The rebound momentum was stronger than that of the national industry, which changed the previous year. Below the national average industrial growth rate, the production and operation situation continues to improve, and the national industry has made positive contributions to achieving the overall goal of steady progress.
2. The main business income increased steadily
In 2013, the machinery industry realized a total revenue of 20.4 trillion yuan, an increase of 13.8% over the previous year, and the growth rate was 4 percentage points higher than the previous year. The growth rate of main business income in the whole year slowed down slowly month by month, and the growth trend was better than expected.
3. The output of most products has increased.
Among the 64 major mechanical products announced by the National Bureau of Statistics in 2013, there were 39 kinds of output growth, accounting for 60.9%, and 25 kinds of production decreased, accounting for 39.1%. Specific analysis shows that products that are more closely related to consumption, as well as products that directly serve automation and intelligent transformation, such as agricultural machinery, passenger vehicles, instrumentation, etc., have better production and sales situations; and typical investment products, such as machine tools. Construction machinery, heavy machinery, power generation equipment, etc., the production and sales situation is relatively poor.
The output of large and medium-sized tractors was 584,600 units, a year-on-year increase of 12%.
The output of CNC machine tools was 209,300 units, a year-on-year increase of 2.2%.
The output of power generation equipment was 122 million kilowatts, down 2.2% year-on-year.
The production and sales of automobiles were 22.13 million and 21.98 million, respectively, up 14.8% and 13.9% year-on-year. Both production and sales exceeded 20 million, a record high, ranking first in the world for the fifth consecutive year.
(II) Profit growth rate rebounded
In the context of steady growth in production in 2013, the growth rate of economic benefits of the machinery industry rebounded faster than production and sales. The accumulated total profit for the year was 1.41 trillion yuan, an increase of 15.6% over the previous year. The growth rate was more than 10 percentage points higher than the previous year, and 1.8 percentage points higher than the growth rate of the main business income during the same period. The profit margin of the main business income was 6.93%, an increase of 0.11 percentage points over the previous year's quick report. The total amount of tax realized in the year was 781.7 billion yuan, up 19.5% over the previous year; the loss of enterprises was 10.9%, up 0.47 percentage points over the previous year; the loss of loss-making enterprises increased by 15.2%.
(3) Low growth of foreign trade
In 2013, the total import and export volume of the machinery industry reached 671.3 billion US dollars, an increase of 3.72% over the previous year, and the growth rate was 1.18 percentage points higher than that of the previous year. Of this total, exports were 372.5 billion US dollars, up 6.24%; imports were 298.8 billion US dollars, up 0.74%. The annual trade surplus reached a record high of $76.6 billion.
(4) The growth rate of fixed asset investment has stabilized and stabilized
In 2013, the machinery industry completed a fixed asset investment of 3.99 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.2%. The growth rate was lower than that of the national and all manufacturing industries by 2.4 and 1.3 percentage points respectively, which was 7.7 percentage points lower than that of the machinery industry in the previous year. The growth rate has dropped significantly for two consecutive years; but from the trend of the month, the growth rate in the second half of last year has slowed down and stabilized.
(5) Orders have increased, prices are still low
In 2013, the accumulated orders of key enterprises in the machinery industry were based on the low base of the previous year. The year-on-year growth rate rebounded slightly from month to month. The situation improved from the previous year. The cumulative order volume from January to December increased by 10.2% over the previous year. But overall, order growth is still weak. The lack of demand will be one of the major difficulties faced by machinery companies in 2014. At the same time, under the pressure of insufficient orders and oversupply, the price of products continued to be sluggish. In 2013, the price index of the machinery industry continued the downward trend of the previous year. By the end of the year, the price index of the month had been lower than 100% for 25 consecutive months.
(6) The increase in financial expenses has declined, but the difficulty in recovering payment has not been alleviated.
In the context of the previous year's high base, the growth rate of financial expenses of the machinery industry dropped significantly in 2013. It has been growing in single digits throughout the year, and it has experienced a year-on-year decline in the middle of the year. The growth rate of interest expenses also dropped sharply from the same period of the previous year. At the single-digit growth level, the momentum of excessively rising corporate capital use costs has eased. However, the phenomenon of mechanical enterprises being in arrears has not changed significantly. At the end of the year, the total amount of accounts receivable has exceeded 3 trillion yuan, an increase of 17.6% year-on-year. The proportion of accounts receivable to the main business income has reached 15.2%. The proportion of current assets accounted for 31% in the same period, and the pressure on corporate capital recovery is very high.
(7) The pressure of rising costs will not decrease, and the efficiency of the main activities will be difficult.
Although the prices of upstream products such as raw materials and fuels are still relatively low, the pressure on the rising costs of the machinery industry remains unchanged. The year-on-year growth rate of main business costs continued to rise and was higher than the growth rate of main business income. The growth rate of main business from January to December was 14.5%, which was 0.7 percentage points higher than the growth rate of main business income during the same period. Affected by this, the profit margin of the main activity (the ratio between the profit generated by the main business and the income from the main business) was only 6.57%, which was 0.41 percentage points lower than that in 2012.
Second, structural adjustment continues to advance
Under the influence of the market reversal mechanism, in 2013, the “transformation and upgrading†and “structural adjustment†of the machinery industry continued to advance. The ability of machinery enterprises to adapt to market changes continued to improve, the endogenous development momentum continued to increase, and the industrial structure adjustment highlights frequently appeared.
(I) New progress in upgrading product structure
In order to cope with the challenge of the decline in demand for traditional products, the research and development of new products and processes in the machinery industry has become more active, and the concept of innovation-driven development has gradually gained popularity. It is becoming a spontaneous choice of more and more enterprises to develop markets by new products, reduce costs by technological advancement, and increase profits by replacing imports. The following are just a few examples.
A number of world-class equipments have come out: the world's largest single-capacity nuclear power generators have been successfully researched and developed; the world's advanced 150-ton large-thrust reciprocating compressors have been successfully developed; the world's first 240MVar/1000kV single-phase single-column UHV reactors have been successfully developed.
The results of localization of high-end control systems are gratifying: the domestic DCS control system for process industry has the strength to participate in international competition, and the domestic market share has exceeded half.
The research and development of high-end smart equipment has achieved results: the first set of high-power underground intelligent complete sets of fully mechanized mining equipment in China has been successfully tested in the Taihe coal-fired machine.
The localization of high-end equipment has been promoted in the depth field: the outlet components of UHV transmission and transformation equipment, high-voltage insulation bushings and other key components that have been subject to long-term import have achieved independent breakthroughs; the domestically-made complete sets of natural gas long-distance pipeline pressurization stations have been The assessment test entered the stage of small batch production.
The pace of collaborative innovation is accelerating: Xugong Group and Sinopec jointly developed the world's largest grade crawler crane of 4,000 tons; China Railway Construction Heavy Industry Co., Ltd. cooperated with Shenhua to successfully develop the world's first long-distance large-slope coal mine inclined hard rock with complete independent intellectual property rights. Roadheader, etc.
(2) Private enterprises play more vitality
In 2013, the income from the main business of private enterprises reached 11.6 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.4%, which was higher than the average growth rate of the machinery industry by 1.6 percentage points, and the proportion of the total output value of the machinery industry increased to 56.74%, an increase of 0.77 over the previous year. percentage point. Private enterprises realized a total profit of 758.5 ​​billion yuan, an increase of 14.6% over the previous year, and the proportion of profits realized by the machinery industry has reached 53.6%.
(3) The regional structure continues to adjust to the expected direction
In 2013, the regional structure of the machinery industry continued to adjust to the policy expectations. From the perspective of production, the main business income of the eastern, central and western regions was 13.67 trillion yuan, 4.72 trillion yuan and 2.04 trillion yuan respectively, up 12.4%, 16% and 18.7% respectively over the previous year, and the growth rate in the central and western regions. Continue to be faster than the east. The proportion of the central and western regions in the machinery industry increased by 0.8 percentage points over the previous year.
(4) Heating up the technological transformation of enterprises
In order to cope with the rising cost pressure, mechanical enterprises actively promote automation, information and intelligent transformation. The “machine substitution†rapidly warmed up in the eastern coastal areas such as Zhejiang, which not only hedged the pressure of rising costs, but also improved production efficiency and processing quality, and improved the ability to cope with market changes.
In short, under the influence of the market reversal mechanism, the transformation and upgrading of the machinery industry has made some progress in the past year, but overall, it is still necessary to make long-term efforts to truly enter the benign development track. In 2013, the total profit of the machinery industry increased by more than 15%, but the profit rate is still not high. Only this has already indicated that the machinery industry has not really got rid of the predicament.
Third, the forecast of the economic operation trend of machinery industry in 2014
(1) Favorable factors
First of all, the macroeconomic environment is conducive to the steady development of the industry. Overall, the domestic macroeconomic trend is basically stable, the economic system reform continues to advance; the international economy shows signs of warming, the developed economies are slowly recovering, the US and Japanese economies are entering a slow-recovery channel, and the euro zone is ending in recession and showing signs of recovery.
Second, the stability of the policy environment is conducive to the industry to promote structural adjustment. The Central Economic Work Conference at the end of last year clarified the economic policy tone of “stable and progressive†and released information to maintain the continuity and stability of the current policy, providing a stable policy environment for the development of the industry.
(2) Unfavorable factors
First, export growth is very difficult. Although China's machinery products have certain international comparative advantages, the rapid export growth that has been going on for many years has triggered increasingly fierce trade frictions. Coupled with the continued rise in the RMB exchange rate, it has weakened my competitiveness. Therefore, it is more difficult for China's machinery products to further expand exports.
Second, the pressure on capital has increased. At this stage, the company's accounts receivable remain high, and corporate liquidity is heavily occupied. At the same time, the withdrawal of the US quantitative easing policy has led to the tightening of international liquidity funds, which will be transmitted to the domestic market through trade and capital flows, thereby further increasing domestic enterprises. The pressure of tight liquidity.
Third, the cost of human resources and environmental resources has risen rapidly, squeezing profit margins. In recent years, human and environmental resource costs have entered a fast-rising channel, which will squeeze the profit margins of domestic enterprises.
(III) 2014 development forecast
After experiencing the rapid growth of the “10th Five-Year Plan†and “Eleventh Five-Year Plan†and the sharp decline of the 2011 and 2012 years, China's machinery industry is expected to be relatively stable in a medium-speed development platform. It is expected that China's machinery industry will generally continue its steady and medium-speed growth in 2013 in 2014.
In 2014, the external environment of the machinery industry is unlikely to improve significantly, but overall it is expected to remain basically stable. It is worth noting that the comprehensive deepening of the reform situation in 2014 will put forward higher requirements for the subjective response capacity of machinery enterprises. “Making the market play a decisive role in resource allocation†not only contains unlimited opportunities, but also increases the responsibility of market participants at their own risk. It is expected that the differentiation of machinery enterprises will further intensify in the future, and mergers and acquisitions between enterprises will continue to accelerate. Machinery companies must enhance their awareness of the crisis and earnestly increase their efforts to accelerate their own quality and competitiveness.
It is expected that with the efforts of the whole industry, the growth rate of production, sales and profit of the machinery industry will reach about 12% in 2014, and the export growth rate is expected to reach 8%.
The Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee has launched a blueprint for China's deepening reforms. 2014 will be an extraordinary year. We believe that in the process of structural adjustment, which focuses on attacking high-end and sturdy foundations, the majority of machinery enterprises will change more in the development mode of innovation-driven, two-in-one integration and green development. More new explorations will also lead to more new progress and more fruitful results.
The 2013 press conference on the economic operation of the machinery industry in 2013 The domestic and international economic situation in 2013 is complicated, the operational difficulties of the machinery industry have increased significantly, and the pressure to change the development mode has increased drastically. In this context, the machinery industry implements the central government's work requirements for “stable and progressâ€, and strives to stabilize growth, adjust structure, and promote reforms. It has achieved slow recovery, moderate growth and steady development of the whole industry, production, sales and benefits. Other major economic indicators have achieved modest growth. At the same time, under the influence of the market reversal mechanism, the pace of structural adjustment and transformation and upgrading is accelerating.
Looking forward to 2014, the overall situation of the external environment of the industry development is difficult to change significantly. The whole industry will conscientiously implement the spirit of the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee, strive to improve the quality of industry development, and actively promote the adjustment and upgrading of industrial structure.
I. Characteristics of the development of machinery industry in 2013
(1) Moderate growth in industry production
1. The growth rate of added value is higher than the national industrial average.
In 2013, the added value of the machinery industry increased by 10.9% over the previous year, an increase of 2.5 percentage points over the previous year, and 1.2 percentage points higher than the national average industrial growth rate (9.7%) in the same period. The rebound momentum was stronger than that of the national industry, which changed the previous year. Below the national average industrial growth rate, the production and operation situation continues to improve, and the national industry has made positive contributions to achieving the overall goal of steady progress.
2. The main business income increased steadily
In 2013, the machinery industry realized a total revenue of 20.4 trillion yuan, an increase of 13.8% over the previous year, and the growth rate was 4 percentage points higher than the previous year. The growth rate of main business income in the whole year slowed down slowly month by month, and the growth trend was better than expected.
3. The output of most products has increased.
Among the 64 major mechanical products announced by the National Bureau of Statistics in 2013, there were 39 kinds of output growth, accounting for 60.9%, and 25 kinds of production decreased, accounting for 39.1%. Specific analysis shows that products that are more closely related to consumption, as well as products that directly serve automation and intelligent transformation, such as agricultural machinery, passenger vehicles, instrumentation, etc., have better production and sales situations; and typical investment products, such as machine tools. Construction machinery, heavy machinery, power generation equipment, etc., the production and sales situation is relatively poor.
The output of large and medium-sized tractors was 584,600 units, a year-on-year increase of 12%.
The output of CNC machine tools was 209,300 units, a year-on-year increase of 2.2%.
The output of power generation equipment was 122 million kilowatts, down 2.2% year-on-year.
The production and sales of automobiles were 22.13 million and 21.98 million, respectively, up 14.8% and 13.9% year-on-year. Both production and sales exceeded 20 million, a record high, ranking first in the world for the fifth consecutive year.
(II) Profit growth rate rebounded
In the context of steady growth in production in 2013, the growth rate of economic benefits of the machinery industry rebounded faster than production and sales. The accumulated total profit for the year was 1.41 trillion yuan, an increase of 15.6% over the previous year. The growth rate was more than 10 percentage points higher than the previous year, and 1.8 percentage points higher than the growth rate of the main business income during the same period. The profit margin of the main business income was 6.93%, an increase of 0.11 percentage points over the previous year's quick report. The total amount of tax realized in the year was 781.7 billion yuan, up 19.5% over the previous year; the loss of enterprises was 10.9%, up 0.47 percentage points over the previous year; the loss of loss-making enterprises increased by 15.2%.
(3) Low growth of foreign trade
In 2013, the total import and export volume of the machinery industry reached 671.3 billion US dollars, an increase of 3.72% over the previous year, and the growth rate was 1.18 percentage points higher than that of the previous year. Of this total, exports were 372.5 billion US dollars, up 6.24%; imports were 298.8 billion US dollars, up 0.74%. The annual trade surplus reached a record high of $76.6 billion.
(4) The growth rate of fixed asset investment has stabilized and stabilized
In 2013, the machinery industry completed a fixed asset investment of 3.99 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.2%. The growth rate was lower than that of the national and all manufacturing industries by 2.4 and 1.3 percentage points respectively, which was 7.7 percentage points lower than that of the machinery industry in the previous year. The growth rate has dropped significantly for two consecutive years; but from the trend of the month, the growth rate in the second half of last year has slowed down and stabilized.
(5) Orders have increased, prices are still low
In 2013, the accumulated orders of key enterprises in the machinery industry were based on the low base of the previous year. The year-on-year growth rate rebounded slightly from month to month. The situation improved from the previous year. The cumulative order volume from January to December increased by 10.2% over the previous year. But overall, order growth is still weak. The lack of demand will be one of the major difficulties faced by machinery companies in 2014. At the same time, under the pressure of insufficient orders and oversupply, the price of products continued to be sluggish. In 2013, the price index of the machinery industry continued the downward trend of the previous year. By the end of the year, the price index of the month had been lower than 100% for 25 consecutive months.
(6) The increase in financial expenses has declined, but the difficulty in recovering payment has not been alleviated.
In the context of the previous year's high base, the growth rate of financial expenses of the machinery industry dropped significantly in 2013. It has been growing in single digits throughout the year, and it has experienced a year-on-year decline in the middle of the year. The growth rate of interest expenses also dropped sharply from the same period of the previous year. At the single-digit growth level, the momentum of excessively rising corporate capital use costs has eased. However, the phenomenon of mechanical enterprises being in arrears has not changed significantly. At the end of the year, the total amount of accounts receivable has exceeded 3 trillion yuan, an increase of 17.6% year-on-year. The proportion of accounts receivable to the main business income has reached 15.2%. The proportion of current assets accounted for 31% in the same period, and the pressure on corporate capital recovery is very high.
(7) The pressure of rising costs will not decrease, and the efficiency of the main activities will be difficult.
Although the prices of upstream products such as raw materials and fuels are still relatively low, the pressure on the rising costs of the machinery industry remains unchanged. The year-on-year growth rate of main business costs continued to rise and was higher than the growth rate of main business income. The growth rate of main business from January to December was 14.5%, which was 0.7 percentage points higher than the growth rate of main business income during the same period. Affected by this, the profit margin of the main activity (the ratio between the profit generated by the main business and the income from the main business) was only 6.57%, which was 0.41 percentage points lower than that in 2012.
Second, structural adjustment continues to advance
Under the influence of the market reversal mechanism, in 2013, the “transformation and upgrading†and “structural adjustment†of the machinery industry continued to advance. The ability of machinery enterprises to adapt to market changes continued to improve, the endogenous development momentum continued to increase, and the industrial structure adjustment highlights frequently appeared.
(I) New progress in upgrading product structure
In order to cope with the challenge of the decline in demand for traditional products, the research and development of new products and processes in the machinery industry has become more active, and the concept of innovation-driven development has gradually gained popularity. It is becoming a spontaneous choice of more and more enterprises to develop markets by new products, reduce costs by technological advancement, and increase profits by replacing imports. The following are just a few examples.
A number of world-class equipments have come out: the world's largest single-capacity nuclear power generators have been successfully researched and developed; the world's advanced 150-ton large-thrust reciprocating compressors have been successfully developed; the world's first 240MVar/1000kV single-phase single-column UHV reactors have been successfully developed.
The results of localization of high-end control systems are gratifying: the domestic DCS control system for process industry has the strength to participate in international competition, and the domestic market share has exceeded half.
The research and development of high-end smart equipment has achieved results: the first set of high-power underground intelligent complete sets of fully mechanized mining equipment in China has been successfully tested in the Taihe coal-fired machine.
The localization of high-end equipment has been promoted in the depth field: the outlet components of UHV transmission and transformation equipment, high-voltage insulation bushings and other key components that have been subject to long-term import have achieved independent breakthroughs; the domestically-made complete sets of natural gas long-distance pipeline pressurization stations have been The assessment test entered the stage of small batch production.
The pace of collaborative innovation is accelerating: Xugong Group and Sinopec jointly developed the world's largest grade crawler crane of 4,000 tons; China Railway Construction Heavy Industry Co., Ltd. cooperated with Shenhua to successfully develop the world's first long-distance large-slope coal mine inclined hard rock with complete independent intellectual property rights. Roadheader, etc.
(2) Private enterprises play more vitality
In 2013, the income from the main business of private enterprises reached 11.6 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.4%, which was higher than the average growth rate of the machinery industry by 1.6 percentage points, and the proportion of the total output value of the machinery industry increased to 56.74%, an increase of 0.77 over the previous year. percentage point. Private enterprises realized a total profit of 758.5 ​​billion yuan, an increase of 14.6% over the previous year, and the proportion of profits realized by the machinery industry has reached 53.6%.
(3) The regional structure continues to adjust to the expected direction
In 2013, the regional structure of the machinery industry continued to adjust to the policy expectations. From the perspective of production, the main business income of the eastern, central and western regions was 13.67 trillion yuan, 4.72 trillion yuan and 2.04 trillion yuan respectively, up 12.4%, 16% and 18.7% respectively over the previous year, and the growth rate in the central and western regions. Continue to be faster than the east. The proportion of the central and western regions in the machinery industry increased by 0.8 percentage points over the previous year.
(4) Heating up the technological transformation of enterprises
In order to cope with the rising cost pressure, mechanical enterprises actively promote automation, information and intelligent transformation. The “machine substitution†rapidly warmed up in the eastern coastal areas such as Zhejiang, which not only hedged the pressure of rising costs, but also improved production efficiency and processing quality, and improved the ability to cope with market changes.
In short, under the influence of the market reversal mechanism, the transformation and upgrading of the machinery industry has made some progress in the past year, but overall, it is still necessary to make long-term efforts to truly enter the benign development track. In 2013, the total profit of the machinery industry increased by more than 15%, but the profit rate is still not high. Only this has already indicated that the machinery industry has not really got rid of the predicament.
Third, the forecast of the economic operation trend of machinery industry in 2014
(1) Favorable factors
First of all, the macroeconomic environment is conducive to the steady development of the industry. Overall, the domestic macroeconomic trend is basically stable, the economic system reform continues to advance; the international economy shows signs of warming, the developed economies are slowly recovering, the US and Japanese economies are entering a slow-recovery channel, and the euro zone is ending in recession and showing signs of recovery.
Second, the stability of the policy environment is conducive to the industry to promote structural adjustment. The Central Economic Work Conference at the end of last year clarified the economic policy tone of “stable and progressive†and released information to maintain the continuity and stability of the current policy, providing a stable policy environment for the development of the industry.
(2) Unfavorable factors
First, export growth is very difficult. Although China's machinery products have certain international comparative advantages, the rapid export growth that has been going on for many years has triggered increasingly fierce trade frictions. Coupled with the continued rise in the RMB exchange rate, it has weakened my competitiveness. Therefore, it is more difficult for China's machinery products to further expand exports.
Second, the pressure on capital has increased. At this stage, the company's accounts receivable remain high, and corporate liquidity is heavily occupied. At the same time, the withdrawal of the US quantitative easing policy has led to the tightening of international liquidity funds, which will be transmitted to the domestic market through trade and capital flows, thereby further increasing domestic enterprises. The pressure of tight liquidity.
Third, the cost of human resources and environmental resources has risen rapidly, squeezing profit margins. In recent years, human and environmental resource costs have entered a fast-rising channel, which will squeeze the profit margins of domestic enterprises.
(III) 2014 development forecast
After experiencing the rapid growth of the “10th Five-Year Plan†and “Eleventh Five-Year Plan†and the sharp decline of the 2011 and 2012 years, China's machinery industry is expected to be relatively stable in a medium-speed development platform. It is expected that China's machinery industry will generally continue its steady and medium-speed growth in 2013 in 2014.
In 2014, the external environment of the machinery industry is unlikely to improve significantly, but overall it is expected to remain basically stable. It is worth noting that the comprehensive deepening of the reform situation in 2014 will put forward higher requirements for the subjective response capacity of machinery enterprises. “Making the market play a decisive role in resource allocation†not only contains unlimited opportunities, but also increases the responsibility of market participants at their own risk. It is expected that the differentiation of machinery enterprises will further intensify in the future, and mergers and acquisitions between enterprises will continue to accelerate. Machinery companies must enhance their awareness of the crisis and earnestly increase their efforts to accelerate their own quality and competitiveness.
It is expected that with the efforts of the whole industry, the growth rate of production, sales and profit of the machinery industry will reach about 12% in 2014, and the export growth rate is expected to reach 8%.
The Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee has launched a blueprint for China's deepening reforms. 2014 will be an extraordinary year. We believe that in the process of structural adjustment, which focuses on attacking high-end and sturdy foundations, the majority of machinery enterprises will change more in the development mode of innovation-driven, two-in-one integration and green development. More new explorations will also lead to more new progress and more fruitful results.
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