From 1618 to 1648, European nations broke out the famous “Thirty Years War†in history in order to resist hegemony and compete for interests. Nowadays, a new “Thirty Years War†that has not seen smoke is being staged. Although it will not cause massive bloodshed, the significance of the future of mankind cannot be ignored. The trigger for this war is global scope. Internal energy competition is increasing. The Guardian stated that in the second half of the 21st century, whoever dominates the world's energy supply will be able to ultimately decide that mankind will live and work in the coming decades, and will therefore make huge profits.
Why did this war last for 30 years? Because for thirty years it was precisely the “labs†of energy, such as hydrogen energy, fiber ethanol, tidal energy, algae fuels, and advanced nuclear reactor technologies, that have shifted from theory to industrial production cycles. At the same time, due to the depletion of stocks and people’s concerns about carbon emissions growth, the use of coal and oil may plummet.
However, the fate of the world's major energy companies is unknown. For example, oil giants such as BP, Chevron, ExxonMobil and the Anglo-Dutch Shell Group, the industrial transformation may bring many different results. Some companies have to accept the new economic model by monopolizing emerging markets through the production of alternative energy products; while others may face bankruptcy or be merged with other competitors; at the same time, new companies will continue to emerge, in terms of wealth and status. Catch up with the previous oil giant.
The article said that in this process, countries will also face the same challenges. Some countries have chosen to develop superior technologies on the basis of existing energy models. Others are constantly competing for energy reserves and markets on a global scale. Adequate energy supply is the foundation of ****, so in the future, countries will compete for oil, natural gas, or lithium and nickel (production of electric vehicles), which may lead to armed conflict.
When this turbulent period of 30 years is over, a new world pattern will emerge that will lead to energy self-management. At the same time, since the existing energy systems cannot meet the endless human needs, the competition for energy among countries will inevitably intensify. Unless a new alternative energy system emerges, the world will likely encounter environmental catastrophes that humans cannot currently imagine.
According to BP's data, fossil energy consumption accounted for 87% of global energy consumption in 2010, of which oil accounted for 33.6%. The Guardian article stated that it is almost impossible to maintain this level within the next 30 years because of oil shortages and the effects of climate change. Most analysts’ research shows that traditional oil production will peak in the next few years and then decline irreversibly. By 2041, the oil supply will be far from meeting the energy demand of 33.6% today. In addition, the acceleration of climate change will bring more climate disasters, forcing countries to take remedial measures to reduce carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gas emissions by reducing the use of fossil fuels.
However, irrespective of the outcome of the competition, the earth will be another scene after thirty years: rising temperatures, frequent catastrophic storms, and a large reduction in land. Countries around the world will be forced to strictly control carbon emissions and reduce the use of fossil fuels. Some economically affluent areas can still afford oil consumption, but oil will no longer be the most important source of energy. No one can predict how the outcome of this "three-year war of energy" will be, who is the winner, who is the loser, or which form of energy will dominate people's lives in 2041.
Why did this war last for 30 years? Because for thirty years it was precisely the “labs†of energy, such as hydrogen energy, fiber ethanol, tidal energy, algae fuels, and advanced nuclear reactor technologies, that have shifted from theory to industrial production cycles. At the same time, due to the depletion of stocks and people’s concerns about carbon emissions growth, the use of coal and oil may plummet.
However, the fate of the world's major energy companies is unknown. For example, oil giants such as BP, Chevron, ExxonMobil and the Anglo-Dutch Shell Group, the industrial transformation may bring many different results. Some companies have to accept the new economic model by monopolizing emerging markets through the production of alternative energy products; while others may face bankruptcy or be merged with other competitors; at the same time, new companies will continue to emerge, in terms of wealth and status. Catch up with the previous oil giant.
The article said that in this process, countries will also face the same challenges. Some countries have chosen to develop superior technologies on the basis of existing energy models. Others are constantly competing for energy reserves and markets on a global scale. Adequate energy supply is the foundation of ****, so in the future, countries will compete for oil, natural gas, or lithium and nickel (production of electric vehicles), which may lead to armed conflict.
When this turbulent period of 30 years is over, a new world pattern will emerge that will lead to energy self-management. At the same time, since the existing energy systems cannot meet the endless human needs, the competition for energy among countries will inevitably intensify. Unless a new alternative energy system emerges, the world will likely encounter environmental catastrophes that humans cannot currently imagine.
According to BP's data, fossil energy consumption accounted for 87% of global energy consumption in 2010, of which oil accounted for 33.6%. The Guardian article stated that it is almost impossible to maintain this level within the next 30 years because of oil shortages and the effects of climate change. Most analysts’ research shows that traditional oil production will peak in the next few years and then decline irreversibly. By 2041, the oil supply will be far from meeting the energy demand of 33.6% today. In addition, the acceleration of climate change will bring more climate disasters, forcing countries to take remedial measures to reduce carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gas emissions by reducing the use of fossil fuels.
However, irrespective of the outcome of the competition, the earth will be another scene after thirty years: rising temperatures, frequent catastrophic storms, and a large reduction in land. Countries around the world will be forced to strictly control carbon emissions and reduce the use of fossil fuels. Some economically affluent areas can still afford oil consumption, but oil will no longer be the most important source of energy. No one can predict how the outcome of this "three-year war of energy" will be, who is the winner, who is the loser, or which form of energy will dominate people's lives in 2041.
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